{"id":5000,"date":"2026-01-06T15:58:01","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T14:58:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/martinique2050.com\/la-frequence-des-cyclones-tropicaux-intenses-pourrait-plus-que-doubler-dici-a-2050\/"},"modified":"2026-01-06T15:58:01","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T14:58:01","slug":"la-frequence-des-cyclones-tropicaux-intenses-pourrait-plus-que-doubler-dici-a-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/martinique2050.com\/en\/la-frequence-des-cyclones-tropicaux-intenses-pourrait-plus-que-doubler-dici-a-2050\/","title":{"rendered":"The frequency of intense tropical cyclones could more than double by 2050"},"content":{"rendered":"
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According to a study published by the journal\u00a0Science Advances<\/i>, on April 27, the probability of intense tropical cyclones\u2014Category 3 or higher\u2014is projected to more than double by 2050 in all regions of the world, with the exception of the Bay of Bengal and the Gulf of Mexico. The analysis also predicts that the maximum wind speeds associated with these cyclones could increase to about 20 %, while weaker tropical cyclones and tropical storms will become less frequent.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00ab\u00a0To better protect coastal communities from the future impacts of tropical cyclones, it is essential to improve our understanding of future changes in the hazards and risks posed by these cyclones at the local level<\/i>\u00a0\u00bb, note the co-authors, an international group of scientists led by researcher Nadia Bloemendaal of the Institute for Environmental Sciences in Amsterdam (Netherlands). However, accurate global historical records are rare and cover only the last 30 to 100 years. This lack of data makes it difficult to model tropical cyclones and complicates risk assessment at the local level.<\/p>\n

Using computer-simulated cyclones based on synthetic modeling, researchers were able to more accurately predict the occurrence and behavior of tropical cyclones over the coming decades in light of\u00a0climate change<\/a>. The results were obtained on a global scale and with a fine spatial resolution of just 10 kilometers, enabling local forecasts.<\/p>\n

The regions most at risk are located in low-income countries. Countries where tropical cyclones are relatively rare today will face an increased risk in the coming years, including Cambodia, Laos, Mozambique, and many Pacific island nations, such as the Solomon Islands and Tonga. Asia will be the continent most at risk from tropical cyclones, with millions more people affected in China, Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.<\/p>\n

Source: Agn\u00e8s Sina\u00ef<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0|\u00a0\u00a0Actu-Environnement.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0 Selon une\u00a0\u00e9tude\u00a0publi\u00e9e par la revue\u00a0Science Advances, le 27 avril, la probabilit\u00e9 de cyclones tropicaux intenses, de cat\u00e9gorie 3 ou plus, fait plus que doubler, \u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2050, dans toutes les r\u00e9gions du monde, \u00e0 l\u2019exception du golfe du Bengale et du golfe du Mexique. L\u2019analyse pr\u00e9voit \u00e9galement que les vitesses de vent maximales associ\u00e9es …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4938,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-title":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-description":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-title":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-description":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1568],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-point-fort"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLa fr\u00e9quence des cyclones tropicaux intenses pourrait plus que doubler d\u2019ici \u00e0 2050 - martinique2050<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u00a0 Selon une\u00a0\u00e9tude\u00a0publi\u00e9e par la revue\u00a0Science Advances, le 27 avril, la probabilit\u00e9 de cyclones tropicaux intenses, de cat\u00e9gorie 3 ou plus, fait plus que\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/martinique2050.com\/en\/la-frequence-des-cyclones-tropicaux-intenses-pourrait-plus-que-doubler-dici-a-2050\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La fr\u00e9quence des cyclones tropicaux intenses pourrait plus que doubler d\u2019ici \u00e0 2050 - 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